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Enter SwimSwam’s Pick ‘Em contest here.
With the 2024 World Championships wrapping up in less than a day, check out how SwimSwam readers’ predictions differ from the betting odds published by Caesars Sportsbook.
With the exception of a few events, Caesars generally agrees with SwimSwam readers (note: Caesars has not yet released odds for all events). SwimSwam readers choose Tunisia’s Olympic champion Ahmed Hafnawi He won the men’s 400m freestyle (74.9%), 800m free (55.5%) and 1500m free (52.3%), but Caesars have an Irish distance star Daniel Wiffen (+150) had an advantage over Hafnaoui (+175) in the 800.
At the 2023 World Championships, Hafnawy won gold in the 800 free with a winning time of 7:37.00, more than two seconds faster than Wiffen (7:39.19). But since then, Hafnaoui has changed his practice base, and Wiffen broke the short course meter (SCM) 800 free world record (7:20.46) at the European Short Course Championships in December.
The men’s 100m breaststroke is expected to be one of the most competitive of the year in Doha, Qatar, with SwimSwam readers splitting their votes almost evenly. Nick Fink (30.4%), Arno Camminga (25.1%), Nicolo Martinenghi (21.4%), and adam peaty (20.8%). Meanwhile, Caesars believes Peaty will make a strong return after missing the past two world championships. Peaty, his two-time Olympic champion, is slightly favored (+200) over Fink (+225), Camminga (+400) and Martinenghi (+450).
In the men’s 50m fly race, we’re sure to see some fun competition between the U.S. and U.S. national teams. michael andrewof Trinidad and Tobago dylan carterof Portugal Diogo Ribeiro. SwimSwam readers chose Andrew (44.5%) over Carter (21.4%) and Ribeiro (19.2%), but Caesars has Andrew (+240) just above Ribeiro (+333) and Carter at +650 odds. It was way below. Ribeiro, 19, won silver at last year’s world championships, while Carter narrowly missed out on making the finals in 2022, finishing fourth.
Swimswam readers are interested in Simona Cuadarella Sweeping the free 800 (over 52.3%) erica fairweatherwas 36.9%), and 1500 was free (78.2%). However, Caesars only has +140 odds on Cuadarella in the women’s 1500 free, barely beating China. Lee Bingjie. At last year’s World Championships, Cuadarella (15:43.31) beat Lee (15:45.71) by more than 16 seconds to win the silver medal. katie ledeckywill skip this year’s Doha Games to focus on this summer’s Paris Olympics.
Judging by SwimSwam readers’ predictions, there could be solid value in acquiring the UK underdog Matthew Richards Odds of winning the men’s 100 free title are +800 from China Pan Zanre (-175). As of Friday, Richards (34.7%) beat Pan (52%) in the 100 free, with more than a third of his picks.She’s not an underdog, but a Lithuanian veteran Ruta Meiltite The -120 odds for the Women’s 100 Chest feel like good value considering 93% of SwimSwam readers chose her as the favorite to win.
One interesting contradiction is the men’s 200 free. SwimSwam readers overwhelmingly chose South Korea Hwang Sun Woo (67.8%) He won the world title following his bronze medal win last year. However, at Caesars, Hwang is only slightly more favored (+180) than Pang (+250). Pang won the 200 free at Swim Swam’s Pick ‘Em, even though his career best time (1:44.65) was just a few tenths short of Fan’s record (1:44.40). It has received only one vote so far.
Here are SwimSwam’s biggest reader prediction favorites: kate douglas Women 200IM (100%) and sarah sjostrom with 50 fries (98.3%). According to the odds published by Caesars so far, the biggest favorite to win is Sjostrom (-250) in the women’s 50 free. Cam McEvoy In the men’s 50 free (-250).
Other notes
- High expectations for Americans: In addition to Douglas in the 200 IM and Andrew in the 50 fly, SwimSwam readers also chose Claire Curzan To complete a triple with 100 flies (69%), 100 backs (83.7%), and 200 backs (97.1%), hunter armstrong 50 bucks (85.8%) and 100 bucks (76.3%) double; carson foster Won the 400 IM (86.9%), and Shayne Casas Won the 100 fly crown (59.8%). Additionally, they picked both the U.S. men’s (63.6%) and women’s (55.5%) 400 medley relays as favorites to win.
- Women’s 50 back battle: SwimSwam readers were torn between Canada and Canada. Ingrid Wilm (43%) and UK lauren cox Among women in their 50s (40.1%). At last year’s World Championships, Wilm placed sixth (27.41), just a few tenths of a second behind Cox (27.20), who won the bronze medal.
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