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There’s a big difference between a “best bet” and a certainty.
On-air host after ESPN betting analyst Erin Dolan recommended betting Northwestern within 60.5 points in Sunday’s NCAA Tournament second-round game against UW. Rece Davis’ deadpan joke may have crossed a fine line.
“You know what?” Davis said to Dolan. “Some people call this gambling, gambling. The way you’ve sold this, I think it’s a risk-free investment for what it is.”
Dolan briefly interrupted Davis and called him a “sweater,” feeling there would be gamblers worried that the numbers were low every time Northwestern scored.
But when Davis called it a “risk-free investment,” she seemed as surprised as anyone, shrugging her shoulders.
“Okay,” she said. “It’s a positive way.”
It sounded like a joke that missed the point, based on Dolan trusting his intuition more than any research.
“It gets a little spicy from here on out. This is going to make you sweat a lot,” she said. “I wish I could provide a ton of research as to why this doesn’t work. But if you look at UConn, they like to slow down the tempo. The same is true for Northwestern. If we want to stay, we’re going to have to slow down UW’s offense.”
Northwestern scored 77 points in the first round against Florida Atlantic, but the score was 58-58 after regulation.
There are no risk-free bets. There are few, if any, risk-free investments.
Social media was quick to criticize Davis’ assessment.
“This is far more damaging to the sports betting industry than what’s happening to Shohei Ohtani,” wrote Jared Smith, a betting analyst at Fox Sports Radio.
“No, it is not and never will be a ‘risk-free investment,'” writes Bet for the Win betting writer Prince J. Grimes.
Davis appeared on the X show Sunday afternoon and said he did not intend his comments to be taken seriously.
“With @ESPNBet’s picks hitting the mark yesterday, I joked on this morning’s @CollegeGameDay segment that the advice was like a ‘risk-free investment.’ As we all know, there is no such thing. ” Davis wrote. “Obviously there are risks. I am not a gambler, but I strongly urge anyone who participates in gambling to do so with caution, caution, prudence, financial and personal responsibility, and to never go overboard.” Sports are unpredictable. Betting is difficult. So let’s agree to manage our financial risks properly. I think everyone realizes that my comment was a joke. Just to clarify.”
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