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Home»Marketing»March Madness hits grain markets
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March Madness hits grain markets

The Elite Times TeamBy The Elite Times TeamMarch 14, 2024No Comments5 Mins Read
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I really love this time of year. Especially with temperatures in Wisconsin reaching 70 degrees, the travel season has slowed down significantly and you can see more basketball. Even better, right here in the middle of the Corn Belt, you can see arguably the greatest basketball player of all time (perhaps the best harvest in Iowa State history).

This basketball season has been very different for me. Instead of sitting on the bench and coaching, I watched my youngest daughter play in March Madness. She is a freshman at the University of Wisconsin-Whitewater, who finished her season Saturday night in the Elite Eight of the Division III NCAA Tournament.

As expected, you find yourself deeply involved in your team as a parent. I was literally mentally exhausted after their last game. During that time, I went from nervous to excited to nervous again to angry and finally disappointed. I’ve been obsessed with their tournament run for the past few weeks. So when I sat down to write about the grain market, I found myself looking at the correlation between basketball players and the producers who sell grain.

I address this correlation from a fan’s perspective. Because that’s what I am now. I look at superstitious fans like my point guard’s mother, who had to sit in the same spot and wear the same socks for every game. How many growers are selling their grain the same way or at the same time because it worked last time or because they’ve always done it that way?

I am not discounting the use of consistent or successful marketing techniques in a marketing plan. I’m talking about producers who store grain just because they have a bin, or who never take advantage of the option because it “didn’t work.” I myself like to be superstitious from time to time because I don’t want superstitious people to blame me for my losses. However, decisions must be justified. Don’t leave farm decisions to chance.

It has been said many times that basketball is a “running game.” A good, fast-paced basketball game always includes moments when the team you’re rooting for repeats success, often witnessing the same in turn from the opposing team.

On Saturday, I experienced some of the emotions that all producers go through as I watched my team lead by one point in the first half and fall behind by 13 points in the third quarter. They went on a 10-0 run in the fourth quarter, but were unable to hold on, and the final “run” belonged to the Pioneers (not the Warhawks).

There have been memorable price increases in the market, such as grain in 2012, and more recently the $9 soybean price increase and $4 corn price increase in 2020/21. In the middle of some of these runs, we’re seeing incredible streaks like we saw with the March 2022 to December 2023 corn contract. Unlike watching the aforementioned GOAT break NCAA scoring records, this move didn’t get much hype. It rose slowly and steadily for 22 consecutive trading sessions.

We will always endure tough times as well as good times. How do you react when he commits his third consecutive turnover that ends the season after the team cuts the lead to three with his four minutes left?

Wouldn’t it be nice to have a tool that you can use during the good times of a game or season to keep the bad times from getting too out of control?Last June, when the corn and soybean markets recovered to their trading prices at the beginning of the year Please remember. Have you considered calling a timeout and implementing a strategy to protect your lead?

I’ve made a comparison between basketball and grain marketing, and we all know how emotional both can be. We’ve spent a lot of time discussing how emotions can make people indecisive.

Since Grain is currently in the midst of a small-scale operation, it’s a good idea to take a “time out” and put together a plan that creates some calls to action.

  • Place a sell order when you can make a profit.

  • Once the sale is achieved, place an order to repossess the grain.

  • Consider playing zone. Buy some put options.

Every team is a little different, so make sure you have the right strategy that fits your team’s strengths.

Trading futures and options involves significant risk of loss and each investor or trader should consider whether this is a suitable investment for them. AgMarket.Net is the farm division of John Stewart and Associates (JSA) based in St. Joe, Missouri, and all futures and options trades are cleared through his ADMIS in Chicago, Illinois. This material has been prepared by agents of his JSA or third parties and is or is in the nature of a solicitation. By accepting this communication, you agree that you are an experienced user of the futures market who can make independent trading decisions and will not rely solely on this communication when making trading decisions, and You agree not to rely on it in the future. Past performance, whether actual performance or as indicated by simulated past testing of a strategy, is not indicative of future results. Trading information and advice is based on information obtained from third party sources believed to be reliable. We do not warrant that such information is accurate or complete, and you should not rely on such information. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a particular point in time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we provide will result in profitable trading. The services provided by JSA are not available in all jurisdictions. Depending on the country in which you reside, we may be prohibited from opening and maintaining an Account.



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